TY - JOUR A1 - Vögele, Stefan A1 - Josyabhatla, Vishnu Teja A1 - Ball, Christopher A1 - Rhoden, Imke A1 - Grajewski, Matthias A1 - Rübbelke, Dirk A1 - Kuckshinrichs, Wilhelm T1 - Robust assessment of energy scenarios from stakeholders' perspectives JF - Energy N2 - Using scenarios is vital in identifying and specifying measures for successfully transforming the energy system. Such transformations can be particularly challenging and require the support of a broader set of stakeholders. Otherwise, there will be opposition in the form of reluctance to adopt the necessary technologies. Usually, processes for considering stakeholders' perspectives are very time-consuming and costly. In particular, there are uncertainties about how to deal with modifications in the scenarios. In principle, new consulting processes will be required. In our study, we show how multi-criteria decision analysis can be used to analyze stakeholders' attitudes toward transition paths. Since stakeholders differ regarding their preferences and time horizons, we employ a multi-criteria decision analysis approach to identify which stakeholders will support or oppose a transition path. We provide a flexible template for analyzing stakeholder preferences toward transition paths. This flexibility comes from the fact that our multi-criteria decision aid-based approach does not involve intensive empirical work with stakeholders. Instead, it involves subjecting assumptions to robustness analysis, which can help identify options to influence stakeholders' attitudes toward transitions. Y1 - 2023 U6 - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2023.128326 SN - 1873-6785 (Online) SN - 0360-5442 (Print) IS - In Press, Article 128326 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rhoden, Imke A1 - Ball, Christopher Stephen A1 - Grajewski, Matthias A1 - Kuckshinrich, Wilhelm T1 - Reverse engineering of stakeholder preferences – A multi-criteria assessment of the German passenger car sector JF - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews N2 - Germany is a frontrunner in setting frameworks for the transition to a low-carbon system. The mobility sector plays a significant role in this shift, affecting different people and groups on multiple levels. Without acceptance from these stakeholders, emission targets are out of reach. This research analyzes how the heterogeneous preferences of various stakeholders align with the transformation of the mobility sector, looking at the extent to which the German transformation paths are supported and where stakeholders are located. Under the research objective of comparing stakeholders' preferences to identify which car segments require additional support for a successful climate transition, a status quo of stakeholders and car performance criteria is the foundation for the analysis. Stakeholders' hidden preferences hinder the derivation of criteria weightings from stakeholders; therefore, a ranking from observed preferences is used. This study's inverse multi-criteria decision analysis means that weightings can be predicted and used together with a recalibrated performance matrix to explore future preferences toward car segments. Results show that stakeholders prefer medium-sized cars, with the trend pointing towards the increased potential for alternative propulsion technologies and electrified vehicles. These insights can guide the improved targeting of policy supporting the energy and mobility transformation. Additionally, the method proposed in this work can fully handle subjective approaches while incorporating a priori information. A software implementation of the proposed method completes this work and is made publicly available. KW - Regionalization KW - Multi-criteria decision analysis KW - Preference assessment KW - E-Mobility KW - Mobility transition Y1 - 2023 U6 - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2023.113352 SN - 1364-0321 VL - 181 IS - July 2023 SP - Article number: 113352 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER -