TY  - JOUR
A1  - Heierli, Joachim
A1  - Purves, Ross S.
A1  - Felber, Andreas
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
T1  - Verification of nearest-neighbours interpretations in avalanche forecasting
JF  - Annals of Glaciology
N2  - This paper examines the positive and negative aspects of a range of interpretations of nearest-neighbours models. Measures-oriented and distributionoriented verification methods are applied to categorial, probabilistic and descriptive interpretations of nearest neighbours used operationally in avalanche forecasting in Scotland and Switzerland. The dependence of skill and accuracy measures on base rate is illustrated. The purpose of the forecast and the definition of events are important variables in determining the quality of the forecast. A discussion of the application of different interpretations in operational avalanche forecasting is presented.
KW  - avalanche
Y1  - 2004
SN  - 1727-5644
VL  - 38
IS  - 1
SP  - 84
EP  - 88
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - German, Laura
A1  - Mikucki, Jill A.
A1  - Welch, Susan A.
A1  - Welch, Kathleen A.
A1  - Lutton, Anthony
A1  - Dachwald, Bernd
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
A1  - Heinen, Dirk
A1  - Feldmann, Marco
A1  - Francke, Gero
A1  - Espe, Clemens
A1  - Lyons, W. Berry
T1  - Validation of sampling antarctic subglacial hypersaline waters with an electrothermal ice melting probe (IceMole) for environmental analytical geochemistry
JF  - International Journal of Environmental Analytical Chemistry
N2  - Geochemical characterisation of hypersaline waters is difficult as high concentrations of salts hinder the analysis of constituents at low concentrations, such as trace metals, and the collection of samples for trace metal analysis in natural waters can be easily contaminated. This is particularly the case if samples are collected by non-conventional techniques such as those required for aquatic subglacial environments. In this paper we present the first analysis of a subglacial brine from Taylor Valley, (~ 78°S), Antarctica for the trace metals: Ba, Co, Mo, Rb, Sr, V, and U. Samples were collected englacially using an electrothermal melting probe called the IceMole. This probe uses differential heating of a copper head as well as the probe’s sidewalls and an ice screw at the melting head to move through glacier ice. Detailed blanks, meltwater, and subglacial brine samples were collected to evaluate the impact of the IceMole and the borehole pump, the melting and collection process, filtration, and storage on the geochemistry of the samples collected by this device. Comparisons between melt water profiles through the glacier ice and blank analysis, with published studies on ice geochemistry, suggest the potential for minor contributions of some species Rb, As, Co, Mn, Ni, NH4+, and NO2−+NO3− from the IceMole. The ability to conduct detailed chemical analyses of subglacial fluids collected with melting probes is critical for the future exploration of the hundreds of deep subglacial lakes in Antarctica.
Y1  - 2021
U6  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03067319.2019.1704750
SN  - 0306-7319
VL  - 101
IS  - 15
SP  - 2654
EP  - 2667
PB  - Taylor & Francis
CY  - London
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Fischer, Jan-Thomas
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
A1  - Pudasaini, Shiva P.
T1  - Topographic curvature effects in applied avalanche modelling
JF  - Cold Regions Science and Technology
N2  - This paper describes the implementation of topographic curvature effects within the RApid Mass MovementS (RAMMS) snow avalanche simulation toolbox. RAMMS is based on a model similar to shallow water equations with a Coulomb friction relation and the velocity dependent Voellmy drag. It is used for snow avalanche risk assessment in Switzerland. The snow avalanche simulation relies on back calculation of observed avalanches. The calibration of the friction parameters depends on characteristics of the avalanche track. The topographic curvature terms are not yet included in the above mentioned classical model. Here, we fundamentally improve this model by mathematically and physically including the topographic curvature effects. By decomposing the velocity dependent friction into a topography dependent term that accounts for a curvature enhancement in the Coulomb friction, and a topography independent contribution similar to the classical Voellmy drag, we construct a general curvature dependent frictional resistance, and thus propose new extended model equations. With three site-specific examples, we compare the apparent frictional resistance of the new approach, which includes topographic curvature effects, to the classical one. Our simulation results demonstrate substantial effects of the curvature on the flow dynamics e.g., the dynamic pressure distribution along the slope. The comparison of resistance coefficients between the two models demonstrates that the physically based extension presents an improvement to the classical approach. Furthermore a practical example highlights its influence on the pressure outline in the run out zone of the avalanche. Snow avalanche dynamics modeling natural terrain curvature centrifugal force friction coefficients.
KW  - Snow
KW  - Avalanche
Y1  - 2012
U6  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2012.01.005
SN  - 1872-7441
VL  - 74-75
SP  - 21
EP  - 30
PB  - Elsevier
CY  - Amsterdam
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Lyons, W. Berry
A1  - Mikucki, Jill A.
A1  - German, Laura A.
A1  - Welch, Kathleen A.
A1  - Welch, Susan A.
A1  - Gardener, Christopher B.
A1  - Tulaczyk, Slawek M.
A1  - Pettit, Erin C.
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
A1  - Dachwald, Bernd
T1  - The Geochemistry of Englacial Brine from Taylor Glacier, Antarctica
JF  - Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences
Y1  - 2019
U6  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018JG004411
SN  - 2169-8961
PB  - Wiley
CY  - Hoboken
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
A1  - McElwaine, Jim N.
T1  - Shallow two-component gravity-driven flows with vertical variation
JF  - Journal of Fluid Mechanics
Y1  - 2013
SN  - 0022-1120
VL  - 714
SP  - 434
EP  - 462
PB  - Cambridge Univ. Press
CY  - Cambridge
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Bühler, Yves
A1  - Christen, Marc
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
A1  - Bartelt, Perry
T1  - Sensitivity of snow avalanche simulations to digital elevation model quality and resolution
JF  - Annals of Glaciology
N2  - Digital elevation models (DEMs), represent the three-dimensional terrain and are the basic input for numerical snow avalanche dynamics simulations. DEMs can be acquired using topographic maps or remote-sensing technologies, such as photogrammetry or lidar. Depending on the acquisition technique, different spatial resolutions and qualities are achieved. However, there is a lack of studies that investigate the sensitivity of snow avalanche simulation algorithms to the quality and resolution of DEMs. Here, we perform calculations using the numerical avalance dynamics model RAMMS, varying the quality and spatial resolution of the underlying DEMs, while holding the simulation parameters constant. We study both channelized and open-terrain avalanche tracks with variable roughness. To quantify the variance of these simulations, we use well-documented large-scale avalanche events from Davos, Switzerland (winter 2007/08), and from our large-scale avalanche test site, Valĺee de la Sionne (winter 2005/06). We find that the DEM resolution and quality is critical for modeled flow paths, run-out distances, deposits, velocities and impact pressures. Although a spatial resolution of ~25 m is sufficient for large-scale avalanche modeling, the DEM datasets must be checked carefully for anomalies and artifacts before using them for dynamics calculations.
KW  - snow
KW  - avalanche
Y1  - 2011
SN  - 1727-5644
VL  - 52
IS  - 58
SP  - 72
EP  - 80
PB  - Cambridge University Press
CY  - Cambridge
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Christen, Marc
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
A1  - Bartelt, Perry
T1  - RAMMS: Numerical simulation of dense snow avalanches in three-dimensional terrain
JF  - Cold Regions Science and Technology
N2  - Numerical avalanche dynamics models have become an essential part of snow engineering. Coupled with field observations and historical records, they are especially helpful in understanding avalanche flow in complex terrain. However, their application poses several new challenges to avalanche engineers. A detailed understanding of the avalanche phenomena is required to construct hazard scenarios which involve the careful specification of initial conditions (release zone location and dimensions) and definition of appropriate friction parameters. The interpretation of simulation results requires an understanding of the numerical solution schemes and easy to use visualization tools. We discuss these problems by presenting the computer model RAMMS, which was specially designed by the SLF as a practical tool for avalanche engineers. RAMMS solves the depth-averaged equations governing avalanche flow with accurate second-order numerical solution schemes. The model allows the specification of multiple release zones in three-dimensional terrain. Snow cover entrainment is considered. Furthermore, two different flow rheologies can be applied: the standard Voellmy–Salm (VS) approach or a random kinetic energy (RKE) model, which accounts for the random motion and inelastic interaction between snow granules. We present the governing differential equations, highlight some of the input and output features of RAMMS and then apply the models with entrainment to simulate two well-documented avalanche events recorded at the Vallée de la Sionne test site.
KW  - RAMMS
KW  - snow
KW  - avalanche
Y1  - 2010
U6  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2010.04.005
SN  - 1872-7441
VL  - 63
IS  - 1-2
SP  - 1
EP  - 14
PB  - Elsevier
CY  - Amsterdam
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
A1  - Linder, Peter
A1  - Zierke, S.
A1  - Wulfen, B. van
A1  - Clemens, J.
A1  - Konstantinidis, K.
A1  - Ameres, G.
A1  - Hoffmann, R.
A1  - Mikucki, J.
A1  - Tulaczyk, S.
A1  - Funke, O.
A1  - Blandfort, D.
A1  - Espe, Clemens
A1  - Feldmann, Marco
A1  - Francke, Gero
A1  - Hiecker, S.
A1  - Plescher, Engelbert
A1  - Schöngarth, Sarah
A1  - Dachwald, Bernd
A1  - Digel, Ilya
A1  - Artmann, Gerhard
A1  - Eliseev, D.
A1  - Heinen, D.
A1  - Scholz, F.
A1  - Wiebusch, C.
A1  - Macht, S.
A1  - Bestmann, U.
A1  - Reineking, T.
A1  - Zetzsche, C.
A1  - Schill, K.
A1  - Förstner, R.
A1  - Niedermeier, H.
A1  - Szumski, A.
A1  - Eissfeller, B.
A1  - Naumann, U.
A1  - Helbing, K.
T1  - Navigation technology for exploration of glacier ice with maneuverable melting probes
JF  - Cold Regions Science and Technology
N2  - The Saturnian moon Enceladus with its extensive water bodies underneath a thick ice sheet cover is a potential candidate for extraterrestrial life. Direct exploration of such extraterrestrial aquatic ecosystems requires advanced access and sampling technologies with a high level of autonomy. A new technological approach has been developed as part of the collaborative research project Enceladus Explorer (EnEx). The concept is based upon a minimally invasive melting probe called the IceMole. The force-regulated, heater-controlled IceMole is able to travel along a curved trajectory as well as upwards. Hence, it allows maneuvers which may be necessary for obstacle avoidance or target selection. Maneuverability, however, necessitates a sophisticated on-board navigation system capable of autonomous operations. The development of such a navigational system has been the focal part of the EnEx project. The original IceMole has been further developed to include relative positioning based on in-ice attitude determination, acoustic positioning, ultrasonic obstacle and target detection integrated through a high-level sensor fusion. This paper describes the EnEx technology and discusses implications for an actual extraterrestrial mission concept.
Y1  - 2016
U6  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2015.11.006
SN  - 0165-232X
IS  - 123
SP  - 53
EP  - 70
PB  - Elsevier
CY  - Amsterdam
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Campen, R.
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
A1  - Lyons, W.B.
A1  - Tulaczyk, S.
A1  - Dachwald, Bernd
A1  - Pettit, E.
A1  - Welch, K. A.
A1  - Mikucki, J.A.
T1  - Microbial diversity of an Antarctic subglacial community and high‐resolution replicate sampling inform hydrological connectivity in a polar desert
JF  - Environmental Microbiology
Y1  - 2019
U6  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1462-2920.14607
SN  - 1462-2920
IS  - accepted article
PB  - Wiley
CY  - Weinheim
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
T1  - Mathematische Murgangmodellierung
JF  - Newsletter Naturgefahren
Y1  - 2008
VL  - 2008
IS  - 2
SP  - 4
EP  - 5
ER  -