TY  - JOUR
A1  - Heierli, Joachim
A1  - Purves, Ross S.
A1  - Felber, Andreas
A1  - Kowalski, Julia
T1  - Verification of nearest-neighbours interpretations in avalanche forecasting
T2  - Annals of Glaciology
N2  - This paper examines the positive and negative aspects of a range of interpretations of nearest-neighbours models. Measures-oriented and distributionoriented verification methods are applied to categorial, probabilistic and descriptive interpretations of nearest neighbours used operationally in avalanche forecasting in Scotland and Switzerland. The dependence of skill and accuracy measures on base rate is illustrated. The purpose of the forecast and the definition of events are important variables in determining the quality of the forecast. A discussion of the application of different interpretations in operational avalanche forecasting is presented.
KW  - avalanche
Y1  - 2004
UR  - https://opus.bibliothek.fh-aachen.de/opus4/frontdoor/index/index/docId/5011
SN  - 1727-5644
VL  - 38
IS  - 1
SP  - 84
EP  - 88
ER  -