@inproceedings{Gaigall2022, author = {Gaigall, Daniel}, title = {On Consistent Hypothesis Testing In General Hilbert Spaces}, series = {Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'22)}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'22)}, publisher = {Avestia Publishing}, address = {Orl{\´e}ans, Kanada}, doi = {10.11159/icsta22.157}, pages = {Paper No. 157}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Inference on the basis of high-dimensional and functional data are two topics which are discussed frequently in the current statistical literature. A possibility to include both topics in a single approach is working on a very general space for the underlying observations, such as a separable Hilbert space. We propose a general method for consistently hypothesis testing on the basis of random variables with values in separable Hilbert spaces. We avoid concerns with the curse of dimensionality due to a projection idea. We apply well-known test statistics from nonparametric inference to the projected data and integrate over all projections from a specific set and with respect to suitable probability measures. In contrast to classical methods, which are applicable for real-valued random variables or random vectors of dimensions lower than the sample size, the tests can be applied to random vectors of dimensions larger than the sample size or even to functional and high-dimensional data. In general, resampling procedures such as bootstrap or permutation are suitable to determine critical values. The idea can be extended to the case of incomplete observations. Moreover, we develop an efficient algorithm for implementing the method. Examples are given for testing goodness-of-fit in a one-sample situation in [1] or for testing marginal homogeneity on the basis of a paired sample in [2]. Here, the test statistics in use can be seen as generalizations of the well-known Cram{\´e}rvon-Mises test statistics in the one-sample and two-samples case. The treatment of other testing problems is possible as well. By using the theory of U-statistics, for instance, asymptotic null distributions of the test statistics are obtained as the sample size tends to infinity. Standard continuity assumptions ensure the asymptotic exactness of the tests under the null hypothesis and that the tests detect any alternative in the limit. Simulation studies demonstrate size and power of the tests in the finite sample case, confirm the theoretical findings, and are used for the comparison with concurring procedures. A possible application of the general approach is inference for stock market returns, also in high data frequencies. In the field of empirical finance, statistical inference of stock market prices usually takes place on the basis of related log-returns as data. In the classical models for stock prices, i.e., the exponential L{\´e}vy model, Black-Scholes model, and Merton model, properties such as independence and stationarity of the increments ensure an independent and identically structure of the data. Specific trends during certain periods of the stock price processes can cause complications in this regard. In fact, our approach can compensate those effects by the treatment of the log-returns as random vectors or even as functional data.}, language = {en} } @article{BaringhausGaigall2015, author = {Baringhaus, Ludwig and Gaigall, Daniel}, title = {On an independence test approach to the goodness-of-fit problem}, series = {Journal of Multivariate Analysis}, volume = {2015}, journal = {Journal of Multivariate Analysis}, number = {140}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0047-259X}, doi = {10.1016/j.jmva.2015.05.013}, pages = {193 -- 208}, year = {2015}, abstract = {Let X₁,…,Xₙ be independent and identically distributed random variables with distribution F. Assuming that there are measurable functions f:R²→R and g:R²→R characterizing a family F of distributions on the Borel sets of R in the way that the random variables f(X₁,X₂),g(X₁,X₂) are independent, if and only if F∈F, we propose to treat the testing problem H:F∈F,K:F∉F by applying a consistent nonparametric independence test to the bivariate sample variables (f(Xᵢ,Xⱼ),g(Xᵢ,Xⱼ)),1⩽i,j⩽n,i≠j. A parametric bootstrap procedure needed to get critical values is shown to work. The consistency of the test is discussed. The power performance of the procedure is compared with that of the classical tests of Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cram{\´e}r-von Mises in the special cases where F is the family of gamma distributions or the family of inverse Gaussian distributions.}, language = {en} } @article{BaringhausGaigall2019, author = {Baringhaus, Ludwig and Gaigall, Daniel}, title = {On an asymptotic relative efficiency concept based on expected volumes of confidence regions}, series = {Statistics - A Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistic}, volume = {53}, journal = {Statistics - A Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistic}, number = {6}, publisher = {Taylor \& Francis}, address = {London}, issn = {1029-4910}, doi = {10.1080/02331888.2019.1683560}, pages = {1396 -- 1436}, year = {2019}, abstract = {The paper deals with an asymptotic relative efficiency concept for confidence regions of multidimensional parameters that is based on the expected volumes of the confidence regions. Under standard conditions the asymptotic relative efficiencies of confidence regions are seen to be certain powers of the ratio of the limits of the expected volumes. These limits are explicitly derived for confidence regions associated with certain plugin estimators, likelihood ratio tests and Wald tests. Under regularity conditions, the asymptotic relative efficiency of each of these procedures with respect to each one of its competitors is equal to 1. The results are applied to multivariate normal distributions and multinomial distributions in a fairly general setting.}, language = {en} } @article{Gaigall2019, author = {Gaigall, Daniel}, title = {On a new approach to the multi-sample goodness-of-fit problem}, series = {Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation}, volume = {53}, journal = {Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation}, number = {10}, publisher = {Taylor \& Francis}, address = {London}, issn = {1532-4141}, doi = {10.1080/03610918.2019.1618472}, pages = {2971 -- 2989}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Suppose we have k samples X₁,₁,…,X₁,ₙ₁,…,Xₖ,₁,…,Xₖ,ₙₖ with different sample sizes ₙ₁,…,ₙₖ and unknown underlying distribution functions F₁,…,Fₖ as observations plus k families of distribution functions {G₁(⋅,ϑ);ϑ∈Θ},…,{Gₖ(⋅,ϑ);ϑ∈Θ}, each indexed by elements ϑ from the same parameter set Θ, we consider the new goodness-of-fit problem whether or not (F₁,…,Fₖ) belongs to the parametric family {(G₁(⋅,ϑ),…,Gₖ(⋅,ϑ));ϑ∈Θ}. New test statistics are presented and a parametric bootstrap procedure for the approximation of the unknown null distributions is discussed. Under regularity assumptions, it is proved that the approximation works asymptotically, and the limiting distributions of the test statistics in the null hypothesis case are determined. Simulation studies investigate the quality of the new approach for small and moderate sample sizes. Applications to real-data sets illustrate how the idea can be used for verifying model assumptions.}, language = {en} } @article{BaringhausGaigall2017, author = {Baringhaus, Ludwig and Gaigall, Daniel}, title = {Hotelling's T² tests in paired and independent survey samples: An efficiency comparison}, series = {Journal of Multivariate Analysis}, volume = {2017}, journal = {Journal of Multivariate Analysis}, number = {154}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0047-259X}, doi = {10.1016/j.jmva.2016.11.004}, pages = {177 -- 198}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Hotelling's T² tests in paired and independent survey samples are compared using the traditional asymptotic efficiency concepts of Hodges-Lehmann, Bahadur and Pitman, as well as through criteria based on the volumes of corresponding confidence regions. Conditions characterizing the superiority of a procedure are given in terms of population canonical correlation type coefficients. Statistical tests for checking these conditions are developed. Test statistics based on the eigenvalues of a symmetrized sample cross-covariance matrix are suggested, as well as test statistics based on sample canonical correlation type coefficients.}, language = {en} } @article{Gaigall2020, author = {Gaigall, Daniel}, title = {Hoeffding-Blum-Kiefer-Rosenblatt independence test statistic on partly not identically distributed data}, series = {Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods}, volume = {51}, journal = {Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods}, number = {12}, publisher = {Taylor \& Francis}, address = {London}, issn = {1532-415X}, doi = {10.1080/03610926.2020.1805767}, pages = {4006 -- 4028}, year = {2020}, abstract = {The established Hoeffding-Blum-Kiefer-Rosenblatt independence test statistic is investigated for partly not identically distributed data. Surprisingly, it turns out that the statistic has the well-known distribution-free limiting null distribution of the classical criterion under standard regularity conditions. An application is testing goodness-of-fit for the regression function in a non parametric random effects meta-regression model, where the consistency is obtained as well. Simulations investigate size and power of the approach for small and moderate sample sizes. A real data example based on clinical trials illustrates how the test can be used in applications.}, language = {en} } @article{GaigallGerstenbergTrinh2022, author = {Gaigall, Daniel and Gerstenberg, Julian and Trinh, Thi Thu Ha}, title = {Empirical process of concomitants for partly categorial data and applications in statistics}, series = {Bernoulli}, volume = {28}, journal = {Bernoulli}, number = {2}, publisher = {International Statistical Institute}, address = {Den Haag, NL}, issn = {1573-9759}, doi = {10.3150/21-BEJ1367}, pages = {803 -- 829}, year = {2022}, abstract = {On the basis of independent and identically distributed bivariate random vectors, where the components are categorial and continuous variables, respectively, the related concomitants, also called induced order statistic, are considered. The main theoretical result is a functional central limit theorem for the empirical process of the concomitants in a triangular array setting. A natural application is hypothesis testing. An independence test and a two-sample test are investigated in detail. The fairly general setting enables limit results under local alternatives and bootstrap samples. For the comparison with existing tests from the literature simulation studies are conducted. The empirical results obtained confirm the theoretical findings.}, language = {en} } @article{BaringhausGaigall2018, author = {Baringhaus, Ludwig and Gaigall, Daniel}, title = {Efficiency comparison of the Wilcoxon tests in paired and independent survey samples}, series = {Metrika}, volume = {2018}, journal = {Metrika}, number = {81}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Berlin}, issn = {1435-926X}, doi = {10.1007/s00184-018-0661-4}, pages = {891 -- 930}, year = {2018}, abstract = {The efficiency concepts of Bahadur and Pitman are used to compare the Wilcoxon tests in paired and independent survey samples. A comparison through the length of corresponding confidence intervals is also done. Simple conditions characterizing the dominance of a procedure are derived. Statistical tests for checking these conditions are suggested and discussed.}, language = {de} } @article{GaigallGerstenberg2023, author = {Gaigall, Daniel and Gerstenberg, Julian}, title = {Cram{\´e}r-von-Mises tests for the distribution of the excess over a confidence level}, series = {Journal of Nonparametric Statistics}, journal = {Journal of Nonparametric Statistics}, publisher = {Taylor \& Francis}, issn = {1048-5252 (Print)}, doi = {10.1080/10485252.2023.2173958}, year = {2023}, abstract = {The Cram{\´e}r-von-Mises distance is applied to the distribution of the excess over a confidence level. Asymptotics of related statistics are investigated, and it is seen that the obtained limit distributions differ from the classical ones. For that reason, quantiles of the new limit distributions are given and new bootstrap techniques for approximation purposes are introduced and justified. The results motivate new one-sample goodness-of-fit tests for the distribution of the excess over a confidence level and a new confidence interval for the related fitting error. Simulation studies investigate size and power of the tests as well as coverage probabilities of the confidence interval in the finite sample case. A practice-oriented application of the Cram{\´e}r-von-Mises tests is the determination of an appropriate confidence level for the fitting approach. The adoption of the idea to the well-known problem of threshold detection in the context of peaks over threshold modelling is sketched and illustrated by data examples.}, language = {en} } @article{Gaigall2023, author = {Gaigall, Daniel}, title = {Allocating and forecasting changes in risk}, series = {Journal of risk}, volume = {25}, journal = {Journal of risk}, number = {3}, editor = {AitSahlia, Farid}, publisher = {Infopro Digital Risk}, address = {London}, issn = {1755-2842}, doi = {10.21314/JOR.2022.048}, pages = {1 -- 24}, year = {2023}, abstract = {We consider time-dependent portfolios and discuss the allocation of changes in the risk of a portfolio to changes in the portfolio's components. For this purpose we adopt established allocation principles. We also use our approach to obtain forecasts for changes in the risk of the portfolio's components. To put the approach into practice we present an implementation based on the output of a simulation. Allocation is illustrated with an example portfolio in the context of Solvency II. The quality of the forecasts is investigated with an empirical study.}, language = {en} }