@article{VoegeleGrajewskiGovorukhaetal.2020, author = {V{\"o}gele, Stefan and Grajewski, Matthias and Govorukha, Kristina and R{\"u}bbelke, Dirk}, title = {Challenges for the European steel industry: Analysis, possible consequences and impacts on sustainable development}, series = {Applied Energy}, volume = {264}, journal = {Applied Energy}, number = {Article number: 114633}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0306-2619}, doi = {10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.114633}, year = {2020}, abstract = {The steel industry in the European Union (EU), important for the economy as a whole, faces various challenges. These are inter alia volatile prices for relevant input factors, uncertainties concerning the regulation of CO₂-emissions and market shocks caused by the recently introduced additional import duties in the US, which is an important sales market. We examine primary and secondary effects of these challenges on the steel industry in the EU and their impacts on European and global level. Developing and using a suitable meta-model, we analyze the competitiveness of key steel producing countries with respect to floor prices depending on selected cost factors and draw conclusions on the impacts in the trade of steel on emissions, energy demand, on the involvement of developing countries in the value chain as well on the need for innovations to avoid relocations of production. Hence, our study contributes to the assessment of sustainable industrial development, which is aimed by the Sustainability Development Goal "Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation countries". By applying information on country-specific Human Development Indexes (reflecting aspects of life expectancy, education, and per capita income), we show that relocating energy-intensive industries from the EU may not only increase global energy demand and CO₂-emissions, but may also be to the disadvantage of developing countries.}, language = {en} } @article{VoegeleJosyabhatlaBalletal.2023, author = {V{\"o}gele, Stefan and Josyabhatla, Vishnu Teja and Ball, Christopher and Rhoden, Imke and Grajewski, Matthias and R{\"u}bbelke, Dirk and Kuckshinrichs, Wilhelm}, title = {Robust assessment of energy scenarios from stakeholders' perspectives}, series = {Energy}, journal = {Energy}, number = {In Press, Article 128326}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {1873-6785 (Online)}, doi = {10.1016/j.energy.2023.128326}, year = {2023}, abstract = {Using scenarios is vital in identifying and specifying measures for successfully transforming the energy system. Such transformations can be particularly challenging and require the support of a broader set of stakeholders. Otherwise, there will be opposition in the form of reluctance to adopt the necessary technologies. Usually, processes for considering stakeholders' perspectives are very time-consuming and costly. In particular, there are uncertainties about how to deal with modifications in the scenarios. In principle, new consulting processes will be required. In our study, we show how multi-criteria decision analysis can be used to analyze stakeholders' attitudes toward transition paths. Since stakeholders differ regarding their preferences and time horizons, we employ a multi-criteria decision analysis approach to identify which stakeholders will support or oppose a transition path. We provide a flexible template for analyzing stakeholder preferences toward transition paths. This flexibility comes from the fact that our multi-criteria decision aid-based approach does not involve intensive empirical work with stakeholders. Instead, it involves subjecting assumptions to robustness analysis, which can help identify options to influence stakeholders' attitudes toward transitions.}, language = {en} } @article{VoegeleRuebbelkeGovorukhaetal.2019, author = {V{\"o}gele, Stefan and R{\"u}bbelke, Dirk and Govorukha, Kristina and Grajewski, Matthias}, title = {Socio-technical scenarios for energy-intensive industries: the future of steel production in Germany}, series = {Climatic Change}, journal = {Climatic Change}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {Berlin}, issn = {0165-0009}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-019-02366-0}, pages = {1 -- 16}, year = {2019}, language = {en} }