@article{VogtMottaghyWolfetal.2010, author = {Vogt, C. and Mottaghy, Darius and Wolf, A. and Rath, V. and Pechnig, R. and Clauser, C.}, title = {Reducing temperature uncertainties by stochastic geothermal reservoir modelling}, series = {Geophysical Journal International}, volume = {181}, journal = {Geophysical Journal International}, number = {1}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, address = {Oxford}, issn = {1365-246X}, doi = {10.1111/j.1365-246X.2009.04498.x}, pages = {321 -- 333}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Quantifying and minimizing uncertainty is vital for simulating technically and economically successful geothermal reservoirs. To this end, we apply a stochastic modelling sequence, a Monte Carlo study, based on (i) creating an ensemble of possible realizations of a reservoir model, (ii) forward simulation of fluid flow and heat transport, and (iii) constraining post-processing using observed state variables. To generate the ensemble, we use the stochastic algorithm of Sequential Gaussian Simulation and test its potential fitting rock properties, such as thermal conductivity and permeability, of a synthetic reference model and—performing a corresponding forward simulation—state variables such as temperature. The ensemble yields probability distributions of rock properties and state variables at any location inside the reservoir. In addition, we perform a constraining post-processing in order to minimize the uncertainty of the obtained distributions by conditioning the ensemble to observed state variables, in this case temperature. This constraining post-processing works particularly well on systems dominated by fluid flow. The stochastic modelling sequence is applied to a large, steady-state 3-D heat flow model of a reservoir in The Hague, Netherlands. The spatial thermal conductivity distribution is simulated stochastically based on available logging data. Errors of bottom-hole temperatures provide thresholds for the constraining technique performed afterwards. This reduce the temperature uncertainty for the proposed target location significantly from 25 to 12 K (full distribution width) in a depth of 2300 m. Assuming a Gaussian shape of the temperature distribution, the standard deviation is 1.8 K. To allow a more comprehensive approach to quantify uncertainty, we also implement the stochastic simulation of boundary conditions and demonstrate this for the basal specific heat flow in the reservoir of The Hague. As expected, this results in a larger distribution width and hence, a larger, but more realistic uncertainty estimate. However, applying the constraining post-processing the uncertainty is again reduced to the level of the post-processing without stochastic boundary simulation. Thus, constraining post-processing is a suitable tool for reducing uncertainty estimates by observed state variables.}, language = {en} } @article{RathMottaghy2007, author = {Rath, V. and Mottaghy, Darius}, title = {Smooth inversion for ground surface temperature histories: estimating the optimum regularization parameter by generalized cross-validation}, series = {Geophysical Journal International}, volume = {171}, journal = {Geophysical Journal International}, number = {3}, issn = {1365-246X}, doi = {10.1111/j.1365-246X.2007.03587.x}, pages = {1440 -- 1448}, year = {2007}, language = {en} } @article{KrebsbachSchillerBrunneretal.2006, author = {Krebsbach, M. and Schiller, C. and Brunner, D. and G{\"u}nther, G. and Hegglin, M. I. and Mottaghy, Darius and Riese, M. and Spelten, N. and Wernli, H.}, title = {Seasonal cycles and variability of O_3 and H_2O in the UT/LMS during SPURT}, series = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics}, volume = {6}, journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics}, number = {1}, doi = {10.5194/acp-6-109-2006}, pages = {109 -- 125}, year = {2006}, language = {en} } @article{BaierMottaghyZiegleretal.2008, author = {Baier, C. and Mottaghy, Darius and Ziegler, M. and Rath, V.}, title = {Numerische Simulation des Gefrierprozesses bei der Baugrundvereisung im durchstr{\"o}mten Untergrund}, series = {Bauingenieur}, volume = {83}, journal = {Bauingenieur}, number = {2}, issn = {0005-6650}, pages = {49 -- 60}, year = {2008}, language = {de} } @article{MottaghyVosteenSchellschmidt2008, author = {Mottaghy, Darius and Vosteen, Hans-Dieter and Schellschmidt, R{\"u}diger}, title = {Temperature dependence of the relationship of thermal diffusivity versus thermal conductivity for crystalline rocks}, series = {International Journal of Earth Sciences}, volume = {97}, journal = {International Journal of Earth Sciences}, number = {2}, issn = {1437-3262}, doi = {10.1007/s00531-007-0238-3}, pages = {435 -- 442}, year = {2008}, language = {en} } @article{MottaghyPechnig2009, author = {Mottaghy, Darius and Pechnig, Renate}, title = {Numerische 3D Modelle zur Temperaturvorhersage und Reservoirsimulationen}, series = {BBR - Fachmagazin f{\"u}r Brunnen- und Leitungsbau}, volume = {60}, journal = {BBR - Fachmagazin f{\"u}r Brunnen- und Leitungsbau}, number = {10}, pages = {44 -- 51}, year = {2009}, language = {de} } @article{DoeringRegerKuhnhenneetal.2015, author = {D{\"o}ring, Bernd and Reger, Vitali and Kuhnhenne, Markus and Feldmann, Markus and Kesti, Jyrki and Lawson, Mark and Botti, Andrea}, title = {Steel solutions for enabling zero-energy buildings}, series = {Steel Construction - Design and Research}, volume = {8}, journal = {Steel Construction - Design and Research}, number = {3}, publisher = {Ernst \& Sohn}, address = {Berlin}, issn = {1867-0539}, doi = {10.1002/stco.201510029}, pages = {194 -- 200}, year = {2015}, language = {en} } @article{EllrichLind2012, author = {Ellrich, Thomas and Lind, Thorsten Patric}, title = {Die 'kalte Zwangsverwaltung' durch den Insolvenzverwalter}, series = {Forderungs-Praktiker : WIKI}, journal = {Forderungs-Praktiker : WIKI}, number = {1}, publisher = {FCH}, address = {Heidelberg}, pages = {16 -- 21}, year = {2012}, language = {de} } @article{RostLind2012, author = {Rost, Kathrin Dorothea and Lind, Thorsten Patric}, title = {Die Aufrechnung des Insolvenzverwalters gegen eine Insolvenzforderung nach ihrer Feststellung}, series = {Zeitschrift f{\"u}r das gesamte Insolvenzrecht : ZInsO}, journal = {Zeitschrift f{\"u}r das gesamte Insolvenzrecht : ZInsO}, publisher = {Heymanns}, address = {K{\"o}ln}, issn = {1615-8032}, pages = {2179 -- 2187}, year = {2012}, language = {de} } @article{RathMottaghy2014, author = {Rath, V. and Mottaghy, Darius}, title = {Klimainformation aus dem Untergrund?}, series = {Geographische Rundschau}, volume = {66}, journal = {Geographische Rundschau}, number = {7-8}, publisher = {Westermann}, address = {Braunschweig}, issn = {0016-7460}, pages = {30 -- 36}, year = {2014}, language = {de} }