TY  - JOUR
A1  - Vögele, Stefan
A1  - Grajewski, Matthias
A1  - Govorukha, Kristina
A1  - Rübbelke, Dirk
T1  - Challenges for the European steel industry: Analysis, possible consequences and impacts on sustainable development
JF  - Applied Energy
N2  - The steel industry in the European Union (EU), important for the economy as a whole, faces various challenges. These are inter alia volatile prices for relevant input factors, uncertainties concerning the regulation of CO₂-emissions and market shocks caused by the recently introduced additional import duties in the US, which is an important sales market. We examine primary and secondary effects of these challenges on the steel industry in the EU and their impacts on European and global level. Developing and using a suitable meta-model, we analyze the competitiveness of key steel producing countries with respect to floor prices depending on selected cost factors and draw conclusions on the impacts in the trade of steel on emissions, energy demand, on the involvement of developing countries in the value chain as well on the need for innovations to avoid relocations of production. Hence, our study contributes to the assessment of sustainable industrial development, which is aimed by the Sustainability Development Goal “Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation countries”. By applying information on country-specific Human Development Indexes (reflecting aspects of life expectancy, education, and per capita income), we show that relocating energy-intensive industries from the EU may not only increase global energy demand and CO₂-emissions, but may also be to the disadvantage of developing countries.
Y1  - 2020
U6  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.114633
SN  - 0306-2619
VL  - 264
IS  - Article number: 114633
PB  - Elsevier
CY  - Amsterdam
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Vögele, Stefan
A1  - Josyabhatla, Vishnu Teja
A1  - Ball, Christopher
A1  - Rhoden, Imke
A1  - Grajewski, Matthias
A1  - Rübbelke, Dirk
A1  - Kuckshinrichs, Wilhelm
T1  - Robust assessment of energy scenarios from stakeholders' perspectives
JF  - Energy
N2  - Using scenarios is vital in identifying and specifying measures for successfully transforming the energy system. Such transformations can be particularly challenging and require the support of a broader set of stakeholders. Otherwise, there will be opposition in the form of reluctance to adopt the necessary technologies. Usually, processes for considering stakeholders' perspectives are very time-consuming and costly. In particular, there are uncertainties about how to deal with modifications in the scenarios. In principle, new consulting processes will be required. In our study, we show how multi-criteria decision analysis can be used to analyze stakeholders' attitudes toward transition paths. Since stakeholders differ regarding their preferences and time horizons, we employ a multi-criteria decision analysis approach to identify which stakeholders will support or oppose a transition path. We provide a flexible template for analyzing stakeholder preferences toward transition paths. This flexibility comes from the fact that our multi-criteria decision aid-based approach does not involve intensive empirical work with stakeholders. Instead, it involves subjecting assumptions to robustness analysis, which can help identify options to influence stakeholders' attitudes toward transitions.
Y1  - 2023
U6  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2023.128326
SN  - 1873-6785 (Online)
SN  - 0360-5442 (Print)
IS  - In Press, Article 128326
PB  - Elsevier
CY  - Amsterdam
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Vögele, Stefan
A1  - Rübbelke, Dirk
A1  - Govorukha, Kristina
A1  - Grajewski, Matthias
T1  - Socio-technical scenarios for energy-intensive industries: the future of steel production in Germany
JF  - Climatic Change
Y1  - 2019
U6  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02366-0
SN  - 0165-0009
SP  - 1
EP  - 16
PB  - Springer
CY  - Berlin
ER  -