Open Access

We introduce a new way to measure the forecast effort that analysts devote to their earnings forecasts by measuring the analyst's general effort for all covered firms. While the commonly applied effort measure is based on analyst behaviour for one firm, our measure considers analyst behaviour for all covered firms. Our general effort measure captures additional information about analyst effort and thus can identify accurate forecasts. We emphasise the importance of investigating analyst behaviour in a larger context and argue that analysts who generally devote substantial forecast effort are also likely to devote substantial effort to a specific firm, even if this effort might not be captured by a firm-specific measure. Empirical results reveal that analysts who devote higher general forecast effort issue more accurate forecasts. Additional investigations show that analysts' career prospects improve with higher general forecast effort. Our measure improves on existing methods as it has higher explanatory power regarding differences in forecast accuracy than the commonly applied effort measure. Additionally, it can address research questions that cannot be examined with a firm-specific measure. It provides a simple but comprehensive way to identify accurate analysts.

Dieser "Crashkurs" eignet sich ausgezeichnet für die kompakte Wiederholung und die zielgerichtete Prüfungsvorbereitung. Das Buch ist aufgrund seiner fallbezogenen Ausrichtung vor allem für Anfänger gedacht, eignet sich aber auch für fortgeschrittene Studierende zur kompakten Wiederholung. Einfache Merksätze, Fälle, Übersichten, Definitionen und kurze Zusammenfassungen lassen sich leicht einprägen und geben Sicherheit für die Prüfung. Vorteile auf einen Blick: Das wichtigste BGB-Know-how als Repetitorium vor der Prüfung, mit erprobten Merksätzen und kurzen Zusammenfassungen, Fall für Fall sicher durch die Prüfung