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Year of publication
- 2004 (161) (remove)
Institute
- Fachbereich Medizintechnik und Technomathematik (75)
- INB - Institut für Nano- und Biotechnologien (32)
- IfB - Institut für Bioengineering (28)
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- Fachbereich Luft- und Raumfahrttechnik (16)
- Fachbereich Chemie und Biotechnologie (8)
- Fachbereich Maschinenbau und Mechatronik (5)
- Freshman Institute (4)
- Solar-Institut Jülich (4)
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- English (161) (remove)
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- Article (131)
- Conference Proceeding (22)
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- Bauingenieurwesen (2)
- CAD (2)
- Elektromagnetischer Schutzschild (2)
- civil engineering (2)
- Audio-visual Art (1)
- Blitz (1)
- Blitzrisiko (1)
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This paper examines the positive and negative aspects of a range of interpretations of nearest-neighbours models. Measures-oriented and distributionoriented verification methods are applied to categorial, probabilistic and descriptive interpretations of nearest neighbours used operationally in avalanche forecasting in Scotland and Switzerland. The dependence of skill and accuracy measures on base rate is illustrated. The purpose of the forecast and the definition of events are important variables in determining the quality of the forecast. A discussion of the application of different interpretations in operational avalanche forecasting is presented.